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Nogales, AZ Housing Market

Last updated May 2026

As of the latest data, the typical home in Nogales, AZ is valued around $280K, up 1.3% over the past 12 months. The market is home to roughly 49K residents. Looking ahead, Curb Report's 12-month price forecast points to mixed signals, housing crash risk is elevated, rental cap rates run above market median, the overall Investment Score grades average. Below you'll find Nogales, AZ's home prices, price forecast, crash and climate risk, property taxes, cap rate, and rental data, updated monthly from Zillow, the Census Bureau, FEMA, and 30+ sources. Create a free account to explore the full interactive map, or analyze a specific listing with Curb Check.

Median home value

$280K

1-year growth

+1.3%

Population

49K

12-mo forecast

Mixed signals

Crash risk

Elevated

Cap rate

Above market median

Net migration

-205

Today

Aug 24, 2026 | every business day | US Treasury

10-year Treasury 4.70%, -4 bp. Mortgage pricing tracks this, so it is the piece of a Nogales, AZ purchase that actually moved today.

What today’s rate does to a Nogales, AZ payment →

Nogales, AZ housing market FAQ

Is now a good time to buy in Nogales, AZ?

Curb Report's 12-month price forecast for Nogales, AZ currently points to mixed signals, with elevated housing crash risk. Create a free account to see the full forecast, the signals driving it, and historical trends before you buy.

What is the housing crash risk in Nogales, AZ?

Nogales, AZ's housing crash risk is currently elevated, based on price-to-income, inventory, days-on-market, and overvaluation signals. See the full Crash Risk breakdown and what's driving it on Curb Report.

What is the median home price in Nogales, AZ?

The typical home value in Nogales, AZ is about $280K, up 1.3% over the past year. Explore the full price history and 12-month forecast on Curb Report.

Is Nogales, AZ a good place to invest in rental property?

In Nogales, AZ, rental cap rates run above market median and the overall Investment Score grades average. Use the Curb Check tool to paste any Zillow or Redfin listing and get instant cap rate, cash flow, and a risk read for that specific property.

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