Where Are People Moving in Fairfax, VA?
IRS county-to-county migration, 2023 tax year (released about two years after the tax year it covers).
People moving in
34,095
People moving out
38,672
Net migration
-9,441
Fairfax, VA is a net loser of residents. In the latest IRS data (2023 tax year), 34,095 people moved in and 38,672 moved out, for a net loss of -9,441. Net outflows can soften local rent and price growth over time, though the cause matters as much as the number.
Migration is most useful read alongside the rest of the market. People move for jobs, affordability, climate, and lifestyle, and where they come from and go to says a lot about what a county is competing on. Below are the specific counties driving Fairfax, VA’s flows in each direction.
Top counties people moved to Fairfax, VA from
| Origin county | Returns | People |
|---|---|---|
| Arlington, VAVirginia | 3,648 | 5,460 |
| Alexandria, VAVirginia | 3,351 | 5,542 |
| Loudoun, VAVirginia | 2,814 | 4,676 |
| Prince William, VAVirginia | 2,805 | 4,666 |
| District of Columbia, DCDistrict of Columbia | 1,662 | 2,572 |
| Montgomery, MDMaryland | 1,396 | 2,168 |
| Prince George's, MDMaryland | 1,292 | 2,182 |
| Fairfax, VAVirginia | 698 | 1,099 |
| Los Angeles, CACalifornia | 348 | 603 |
| Stafford, VAVirginia | 338 | 547 |
Top counties people left Fairfax, VA for
| Destination county | Returns | People |
|---|---|---|
| Loudoun, VAVirginia | 4,287 | 7,977 |
| Prince William, VAVirginia | 4,212 | 7,952 |
| Arlington, VAVirginia | 2,724 | 3,653 |
| Alexandria, VAVirginia | 2,536 | 3,753 |
| District of Columbia, DCDistrict of Columbia | 1,177 | 1,483 |
| Prince George's, MDMaryland | 1,107 | 1,799 |
| Montgomery, MDMaryland | 1,040 | 1,651 |
| Fairfax, VAVirginia | 843 | 1,297 |
| Stafford, VAVirginia | 654 | 1,350 |
| New York, NYNew York | 538 | 588 |
“Returns” counts tax returns (a household proxy) that moved along each flow; “People” counts the individuals on those returns, when reported. IRS aggregate and foreign pseudo-rows are excluded. Informational only, not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Are people moving to Fairfax, VA or leaving?
Fairfax, VA had a net loss of -9,441 residents in the latest IRS data (2023 tax year), with 34,095 people moving in and 38,672 moving out. Net migration is inflow minus outflow.
Where are people moving to Fairfax, VA from?
The largest sources of new Fairfax, VA residents are Arlington, VA, Alexandria, VA, Loudoun, VA. The full top-ten list of origin counties is in the table above.
Where do people leaving Fairfax, VA go?
People leaving Fairfax, VA most often move to Loudoun, VA, Prince William, VA, Arlington, VA. The full top-ten list of destination counties is in the table above.
What does Fairfax, VA migration mean for housing?
Migration is a leading demand signal. Sustained net inflows tend to support rents and home prices when supply cannot keep up, while net outflows can soften them. Read this alongside Fairfax, VA's price forecast, building permits, and affordability on the full county dashboard before drawing a conclusion.
How current is this Fairfax, VA migration data?
It comes from IRS Statistics of Income county-to-county migration data, which is released about two years after the tax year it covers; the figures above reflect the 2023 tax year. That lag is normal for this dataset, which counts actual tax returns rather than survey estimates.