Where Are People Moving in Shelby, TN?
IRS county-to-county migration, 2023 tax year (released about two years after the tax year it covers).
People moving in
9,990
People moving out
14,732
Net migration
-9,216
Shelby, TN is a net loser of residents. In the latest IRS data (2023 tax year), 9,990 people moved in and 14,732 moved out, for a net loss of -9,216. Net outflows can soften local rent and price growth over time, though the cause matters as much as the number.
Migration is most useful read alongside the rest of the market. People move for jobs, affordability, climate, and lifestyle, and where they come from and go to says a lot about what a county is competing on. Below are the specific counties driving Shelby, TN’s flows in each direction.
Top counties people moved to Shelby, TN from
| Origin county | Returns | People |
|---|---|---|
| DeSoto, MSMississippi | 1,915 | 3,385 |
| Tipton, TNTennessee | 626 | 1,107 |
| Fayette, TNTennessee | 549 | 1,012 |
| Davidson, TNTennessee | 367 | 557 |
| Crittenden, ARArkansas | 270 | 539 |
| Marshall, MSMississippi | 204 | 347 |
| Cook, ILIllinois | 194 | 345 |
| Harris, TXTexas | 184 | 333 |
| Madison, TNTennessee | 181 | 299 |
| Rutherford, TNTennessee | 164 | 242 |
Top counties people left Shelby, TN for
| Destination county | Returns | People |
|---|---|---|
| DeSoto, MSMississippi | 2,544 | 4,835 |
| Fayette, TNTennessee | 913 | 1,726 |
| Tipton, TNTennessee | 713 | 1,386 |
| Davidson, TNTennessee | 595 | 894 |
| Crittenden, ARArkansas | 313 | 599 |
| Dallas, TXTexas | 313 | 516 |
| Marshall, MSMississippi | 311 | 596 |
| Harris, TXTexas | 284 | 508 |
| Tarrant, TXTexas | 252 | 478 |
| Rutherford, TNTennessee | 242 | 397 |
“Returns” counts tax returns (a household proxy) that moved along each flow; “People” counts the individuals on those returns, when reported. IRS aggregate and foreign pseudo-rows are excluded. Informational only, not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Are people moving to Shelby, TN or leaving?
Shelby, TN had a net loss of -9,216 residents in the latest IRS data (2023 tax year), with 9,990 people moving in and 14,732 moving out. Net migration is inflow minus outflow.
Where are people moving to Shelby, TN from?
The largest sources of new Shelby, TN residents are DeSoto, MS, Tipton, TN, Fayette, TN. The full top-ten list of origin counties is in the table above.
Where do people leaving Shelby, TN go?
People leaving Shelby, TN most often move to DeSoto, MS, Fayette, TN, Tipton, TN. The full top-ten list of destination counties is in the table above.
What does Shelby, TN migration mean for housing?
Migration is a leading demand signal. Sustained net inflows tend to support rents and home prices when supply cannot keep up, while net outflows can soften them. Read this alongside Shelby, TN's price forecast, building permits, and affordability on the full county dashboard before drawing a conclusion.
How current is this Shelby, TN migration data?
It comes from IRS Statistics of Income county-to-county migration data, which is released about two years after the tax year it covers; the figures above reflect the 2023 tax year. That lag is normal for this dataset, which counts actual tax returns rather than survey estimates.